Mild to start November, but cooler days aren’t far off

November 2, 2015 0 Comments

Once again our weather has swung to the milder side of the pendulum and things are bright, quiet, and balmy for November standards. The changes arrived over Halloween weekend with a shift in the upper level pattern as warmer air once again began to blow northward, staving off the typical chill of late fall.

A ridge aloft in the jet stream has developed over the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. meaning a warm and quiet start to the week.

A ridge aloft in the jet stream has developed over the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. meaning a warm and quiet start to the week.

The warmth provided by this warm air mass is reminiscent of the beginnings of November in both 2008 and 2010 when we experienced four-day streaks of 60 and 70 degree highs. This time around it looks like a four-day stretch of the unseasonably warm, stuff going from November first through the fourth. A large storm system will carve out a trough in the west, meaning unsettled when for the second half of the week and at the surface, a cold front will bring November-like weather by Thursday and Friday. Ahead of that, gusty south winds and sunshine will make for a mild midweek where high temperatures will be in the 70s in many spots if not the upper 60s.

The ridge begins to break down in the midweek with gusty winds and increasing clouds for Wednesday and then light rain developing Thursday.

The ridge begins to break down in the midweek with gusty winds and increasing clouds for Wednesday and then light rain developing Thursday.

On the backside of the surface low pressure system that will drag that cold front across the Midwest Thursday into Friday will be light rain and cold winds to round out the week. The weekend does, however, look brighter and drier, but still kind of cool in a November way with upper 40s and low 50s for high temperatures. Still, even with temperatures a notch cooler, we’ll manage to be warm enough to get those last-minute outdoor winter prep projects finished and maybe even get some Christmas lights put up. High temperatures over the weekend will be in the 40s and lower 50s with lows hovering near freezing. No winter weather is expected yet, though, just cool November rain.

Cooler air pours in for Friday and Saturday. Things will moderate a little Sunday into next week, but overall, more November-like weather is expected than the unusually mild conditions we're experiencing to start the month.

Cooler air pours in for Friday and Saturday. Things will moderate a little Sunday into next week, but overall, more November-like weather is expected than the unusually mild conditions we’re experiencing to start the month.

 

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