A wet month so far and it looks to get even wetter this week

It certainly has been a cool and wet first half of April with temperatures running about eleven degrees below normal on average and rainfall amounts approaching triple the normal value in Rochester as of the midpoint in the month.  The official rainfall total in the Med City has been 3.89 inches, which is 2.42 inches of moisture above normal to date and from the look of things, we have quite a bit more on the way for the latter part of this week.  We’re enjoying the most pleasant part of the week right now with sunshine and light winds making for a decent Tuesday afternoon, but after this it will be all down hill for the next few days thanks to a large, messy storm system that, just like last week, looks to bring heavy rain and then some accumulating snow to the region.   Expect rain to develop in the middle of our Wednesday with some heavy downpours and thunderstorms Wednesday evening.  We’ll keep the cool, blustery theme going Thursday with light rain that will eventually transition to a rain and snow mixture late in the day before becoming all snow Thursday night.  Nothing is set in stone yet, but there is the potential that many of us may have to dig out of a coating of five or six inches of snow Friday morning on the back side of this storm system.  There’s also a chance that it will be wetter snow and not as deep, so there are many possibilities ahead of us as that part of the system is a few days away.

An inch or two of rain may fall by early Thursday as shown on our Futurecast. Some spots may receive as much as three inches causing some localized flooding.

An inch or two of rain may fall by early Thursday as shown on our FutureCast. Some spots may receive as much as three inches causing some localized flooding.

Heavy rain and the possibility of heavy snow melt/runoff may cause flooding in some spots this week. A Flood Watch is in effect from Wednesday afternoon through late Thursday night for much of the local area.

Heavy rain and the possibility of heavy snow melt/runoff may cause flooding in some spots this week. A Flood Watch is in effect from Wednesday afternoon through late Thursday night for much of the local area.

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Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by tschmidt on April 16, 2013

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Quite A Storm System This Week: First Rain, Then A Wintry Mess

We’ve been dealing with some nasty, raw, rainy weather today and it’s only going to get more unpleasant and more difficult to deal with over the next couple of days thanks to the arrival of a large, dynamic storm system from the west.  We’ve already been inundated with rain from this system today and will continue to experience light to moderate rainfall through the afternoon and evening.  Because of the heavy rainfall earlier today and concerns with heavy runoff from these showers, the National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch effective until 7:00 PM Thursday for a large portion of our viewing area.

Up to three inches of total rainfall may fall this week in the affected counties, causing localized flooding.

Up to three inches of total rainfall may fall this week in the affected counties, causing localized flooding.

the next phase of this storm system will be a gradual transition to winter weather late tonight through Wednesday and Thursday.  We’ll first see a transition from rain to freezing rain late tonight into early Wednesday morning with some ice accumulation possible, especially on tree branches and power lines.  By midday and afternoon Wednesday, it looks to eb a light rain event for most of us.  There will be another changeover to sleet, freezing rain, and light snow Wednesday night with mainly snow falling by Thursday morning.  During the day Thursday three to six inches of snow may accumulate in southeastern Minnesota with heavier amounts to the north and northwest in the Twin Cities area and western Minnesota where six to twelve inches will be possible.  Locations along the Iowa border and in northern Iowa itself can expected three inches or less by the time the snow tapers off Thursday evening.

Those in the Winter Weather Advisory can expect freezing rain at times Tuesday night, through parts of Wednesday, and Wednesday night, and then three to six inches of snow Thursday.  Areas south of the Winter Weather Advisory will see lighter amounts.

Those in the Winter Weather Advisory can expect freezing rain at times Tuesday night, through parts of Wednesday, and Wednesday night, and then three to six inches of snow Thursday. Areas south of the Winter Weather Advisory will see lighter amounts.

 

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Posted under flooding, winter weather

This post was written by tschmidt on April 9, 2013

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Late Season Snow

It’s April, we just had a couple of days in the 50s, we’ve turned the corner right?  Wrong!  Winter looks like it is going to make a late season push during the middle of the week.  Rain chances and even an outside chance for a rumble of thunder come into play late Sunday and especially overnight into Monday.  Rain will continue in waves on and off through Wednesday.  Over the next 48 hours, some places could approach or exceed an inch of rainfall.  With some frost still in the ground, minor river flooding could occur over the next few days.

F ADVISORY4

 

By Wednesday afternoon much cooler air will interact with this large storm system.  Snow will likely mix with rain for a while, but it looks as if the air will be cold enough Wednesday night through Thursday to support all snow.  Now the ground is warmer and the sun angle is getting higher every day, two things that will work against the snow accumulating, but with that said, it hasn’t been real warm yet as we know.  With that said, the chance for us to bust out the shovels yet again will be there from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.  This could change depending on the track so stay tuned.

F ADVISORY2

 

 

The dip in the Jetstream will supply the storm with cold air.  Here’s how it may look Tuesday evening.  We will be under the gun for rain and possibly thunder as the Dakotas will be receiving snow.  The colder air will affect us on Wednesday.

F ADVISORY3

 

It is still way to early to talk totals as late and early season snowfalls are difficult to pin down due to so many factors working against it.  As it looks now though, the air will be cold enough to support snow.  Stay tuned for the latest on a very active weather week!

 

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Posted under winter, winter weather

This post was written by jkegges on April 7, 2013

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Another weekend, another storm

We’ve been having weather Deja Vu recently as active weather continues to visit the Upper Midwest.  Last week we were talking heavy snow, this week, heavy rain.  Heavy rain will be the main threat as much of this rain will run off into creeks and streams thanks to the frozen ground and thick snow pack.  Of other concern with the heavy rain,  storm drains may be covered from the rounds of snow we have received lately.

Heavy rain won’t be the only issue over the weekend.  We could see everything from freezing rain, rain, sleet, and snow.  We will break those precip types down in order of appearance.

Freezing rain will be possible late Friday night through early Saturday morning.  The thing with this is that air temperatures will probably be above freezing, but ground surfaces will likely be below freezing.  The rain falling initially will have a chance to freeze on contact creating icy spots on roads and sidewalks.  Good news with this is that we aren’t expecting widespread effects from any icing.  Any ice that does accumulate, and it will be minimal at best, will melt quickly as warmer air surges north.  Do use caution traveling at late Friday night and early Saturday morning.

F ADVISORY

That warmer air will cause the precip to remain as mainly rain for the remainder of Saturday and the 1st half of the overnight.  As mentioned above, we could see some localized flooding thanks to runoff.  Ice jamming may also be a possibly a on area rivers so be on the lookout this weekend.  In spots, up to or an exceeding an inch of rain is likely.  This rain could be heavy at times and we may even hear a rumble of thunder or two.  Here is our current rain Futurecast run.

 

F ADVISORY

 

With all of this moisture, dense fog will also be possible over the weekend.  Early Sunday morning, colder air will enter the storm and that will cause the rain to change over to some sleet and eventually snow.  The snow could provide us the chance to have to shovel a little bit.

 

F ADVISORY

 

The track of this system is being watched closely.  If colder air gets into the system earlier, this forecast will change.  We will pin down the snow side of things over the weekend.  Here’s a general look at what could happen early Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon.  At this time, 1-3″ of snow looks possible from early Sunday morning through Sunday evening.

F ADVISORY

 

This is a complex messy storm.  We will have the latest over the weekend on the NewCenter.

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Posted under weather, winter weather

This post was written by jkegges on March 8, 2013

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Weekend Storm May Feature Snow and Ice

 While we’re finally enjoying a dry day with a little sunshine in the area today, two commodities that have been lacking in our weather for just about the entire month so far, we’re still looking ahead toward a weekend storm system that may cause some more headaches for us.  Ahead of its arrival late Saturday night, we’ll enjoy a peaceful, seasonably cool Friday with a little more wind and some low 30s for Saturday…basically the calm before the storm.  However, things will begin to get more difficult for us around midnight Saturday night when a little freezing rain is expected to develop ahead of the center of low pressure to our southwest.  We may stick with freezing rain and sleet for the night, possibly until mid morning before warmer air allows us to transition to light rain as temps will be in the mid 30s.  There will still be a chance for some snow at the tail end of the storm system for us by late Sunday evening.  Accumulations may reach three or four inches in some spots locally by Monday morning when things are expected to dry out, but until the system gets a little closer, we won’t be able to pin down exactly who will get what. As you can see below, the heavier snow is expected to be to our northwest as Winter Storm Watches have been issued for a huge chunk of the Upper Midwest in advance of the system. The Twin Cities area is looking at anywhere from four or five inches to seven or eight inches, depending on the eventual track of the storm while areas to the northwest will see higher amounts, possibly as much as a foot in some locations.

Winter Storm Watches are in effect for Sunday to our north and a Blizzard Watch is in effect for western Minnesota and part of South Dakota as heavy snow and strong winds will make travel very difficult in those areas.

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Posted under winter weather

This post was written by tschmidt on February 8, 2013

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Already more snow than last year

The snow from the afternoon officially gave Rochester (Where official climatology numbers are kept for the area) more snow through the 5th of Feb than we had all of Last Winter.

 
Here are some totals from around the area from Tuesday (2/5)

IOWA

...ALLAMAKEE...
WAUKON                         1.0 IN    
LANSING 4SE                    0.4 IN    

...CHICKASAW...
NEW HAMPTON                    0.5 IN    
IONIA 2W                       T IN      

...CLAYTON...
MONONA WWTP                    0.5 IN    
GUTTENBERG DAM 10              0.4 IN    
VOLGA 1NE                      0.3 IN    
ELKADER 6SSW                   0.2 IN    
EDGEWOOD                       0.2 IN    

...FAYETTE...
CLERMONT                       0.4 IN    
FAYETTE                        T IN    

...FLOYD...
CHARLES CITY                   0.2 IN    

...HOWARD...
CRESCO 1NE                     0.6 IN    
ELMA                           T IN      

...MITCHELL...
ST ANSGAR                      0.2 IN    
OSAGE                          T IN      

...WINNESHIEK...
CALMAR                         0.5 IN    
4 S SATTRE                     T IN      

MINNESOTA

...DODGE...
MANTORVILLE                    3.5 IN    
2 ESE MANTORVILLE              1.0 IN    
KASSON                         0.5 IN    
2 SSE CLAREMONT                0.5 IN    
2 SSE CLAREMONT                0.5 IN    

...FILLMORE...
PETERSON 1S                    2.7 IN   
LANESBORO                      1.4 IN   
2 SSE PILOT MOUND              0.7 IN    

...HOUSTON...
RENO 3SW                       2.1 IN    
SPRING GROVE 4N                1.0 IN    
2 ENE WILMINGTON               0.2 IN    

...MOWER...
ELKTON                         1.5 IN    
AUSTIN                         1.2 IN    
GRAND MEADOW                   0.5 IN    
AUSTIN WASTE WATER TREATMENT F 0.4 IN   

...OLMSTED...
ROCHESTER                      2.5 IN    
ROCHESTER AP 2NE               2.3 IN    
PINE ISLAND 2S                 2.2 IN    
1 SE ROCHESTER                 2.0 IN    
ORONOCO                        1.8 IN   
BYRON 4 NORTH                  1.8 IN    
ELGIN 2SSW                     1.3 IN  

...WABASHA...
THEILMAN 1SSW                  3.5 IN    
MAZEPPA 5SE                    2.5 IN    
WABASHA                        1.2 IN   

...WINONA...
4 SW ELBA                      3.3 IN    
WINONA                         2.0 IN   
ALTURA 5W                      1.4 IN    
TREMPEALEAU DAM 6              1.0 IN    
LA CRESCENT DAM 7              1.0 IN   
MINNESOTA CITY DAM 5           0.5 IN  
GOODVIEW                       0.5 IN    
LEWISTON                       0.5 IN    
WINONA DAM 5A                  0.4 IN    

WISCONSIN

...ADAMS...
MONROE CENTER 1E               T IN     

...BUFFALO...
ALMA DAM 4                     0.5 IN    

...CLARK...
OWEN 2N                        0.3 IN    
NEILLSVILLE 3ESE               T IN      

...CRAWFORD...
LYNXVILLE DAM 9                0.5 IN    
STEUBEN 4SE                    0.5 IN    
DESOTO 1SE                     0.4 IN   
PRAIRIE DU CHIEN               0.4 IN   

...GRANT...
LANCASTER 4WSW                 0.4 IN   

...JACKSON...
HATFIELD DAM                   0.1 IN    
MATHER 3NW                     T IN    

...LA CROSSE...
LA CROSSE NWS                  1.7 IN    
LA CROSSE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT    1.5 IN    
LA CROSSE 4NNW                 0.5 IN    
2 NW ONALASKA                  0.4 IN
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Posted under climate, Snow Totals, weather, winter, winter weather

This post was written by jkegges on February 5, 2013

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A Warm Week

A significant shift in our weather pattern is bringing some unseasonably warm air into the region this week.  Right now it looks like we have five solid days of 30 degree weather in store for just about the entire area as the jet stream begins to lift to the north allowing some of that warmth in.  While this mild spell is going to make venturing outside a little more comfortable for us, it’s also eat into our snowpack a little, especially on Thursday when rain seems very possible across the area.  Rochester, for instance, currently has an official snow depth of 4 inches and right now it seems like the majority of that may be washed away by the weekend.  Look for highs in the low to mid 30s from today through Friday with sunshine and gusty winds through Wednesday followed by a little light rain during the day Thursday and mixed rain and snow showers Thursday night through part of Friday.  There is a chance that we may get some of that snow back Saturday as a storm system moves in from the southwest, but the track of that storm is very uncertain and it’s entirly possible that we may miss out on the whole thing.  Colder air will return Saturday and linger through all of next week, with or without snow on the ground.

 

Warm air is surging northward, bringing us a taste of early March weather this week.

 

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Posted under winter weather

This post was written by tschmidt on January 7, 2013

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Colder Air Moves In and May Linger

Seasonably cold arctic air has poured into the region on the heels of Thursday’s blizzard and, from the looks of things, it may be here for quite some time.  The storm system (“Draco” as the Weather Channel is calling it) that produced heavy snow and strong winds in our area has moved on to the east, but behind it, colder air is pouring in ahead of a broad area of high pressure.  The pattern aloft is changing as well, as colder air is pushing southward.  The storm track will be south of us for the most part next week while cold, dry arctic air will dominate our Christmas week forecast.

Colder air is moving in today while high pressure ahead of us will make for a quiet, chilly weekend.

A pattern change will push the main storm track to the south while cold, dry air lingers in our region. A large storm system is expected to develop in Colorado, moving southeastward and affecting the Gulf states and eventually East Coast while our next chance for accumulating snow may hold off until next weekend.

 

 

 

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Posted under Uncategorized, winter weather

This post was written by tschmidt on December 21, 2012

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Winter Weather Awareness

We’re definitely in the midst of a typical November-like weather pattern and still experiencing late fall temperatures as we move into the second week of the month, but this seems the appropriate time to talk about winter weather preparedness.  This week is Winter Weather Awareness week for our region as we at least start to think about the colder, icier, sloppier conditions that are eventually on their way in the coming season.  Below is this year’s information on the subject of winter from the National Weather Service in La Crosse.  Incidentally, if you’re wondering about winter weather in our current forecast picture, there is one storm system we’ll be watching closely over the upcoming weekend that is expected to bring rain, and possibly later, some snow to the region, especially to the eastern part of the local area.  Right now it’s a little too early to make any bold predictions, but we’ll just say right now that there is at least a small chance that a few of us my see at least a little snow or some snowflakes mixed with rain early next week on the back side of the system, so we’ll watching and waiting.

NWS La Crosse snow NWS Winter Weather Information / Terms

It is important that you learn and understand the definitions of different winter related headlines. Here are the main products used by the NWS to keep people informed.

Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO)

    The Hazardous Weather Outlook includes any potential weather hazard out to seven (7) days. It is used for planning purposes and will include a short description of what the weather threat is, when it is expected, and how much it may impact the region. The HWO is issued daily around 5:00 AM, and updated during the day as needed. It is also broadcast on NOAA Weather Radio near the top and bottom of every hour.

Winter Storm Watch (WSW)

    A Winter Storm Watch is issued when there is a potential for a winter storm to affect the region during the next 1 to 3 days. It does not always mean the area will be hit by a winter storm, but there is still some uncertainity of the exact path or timing of the event. This is a planning stage. Use this time to ensure you have supplies at home, like some extra food, medications, baby items, etc.. If travel is planned, check ahead and see if a different route or delaying your departure may make your trip safer. Be alert for changing weather conditions.

Winter Weather Advisory (WSW)

    Advisories are issued for those winter weather events that are expected to be more of an inconvenience and should not become life-threatening if caution is exercised. These are often issued for 3 to 6 inches of snow, blowing and drifting snow, freezing drizzle, or a combination of these elements. It may be issued for less snow for early season events, when drivers may not be accustomed to slick roads.

Winter Storm Warning (WSW)

    Winter Storm Warnings are usually issued when dangerous winter weather is expected, occurring, or imminent. The weather can become life-threatening. Criteria includes snowfalls of 6 inches or more in 12 hours, 8 inches in 24 hours, or lower amounts if accompanied by strong winds or a combination of dangerous winter elements. Avoid unnecessary travel.

Blizzard Warnings (BZW)

      The most dangerous winter event is certainly the

blizzard

    . Blizzard Warnings are issued when snow or blowing snow lowers visibilities to a 1/4 mile or less, wind gusts hit 35 mph or higher, and the storm lasts for 3 hours or more. Travel is dangerous and should be avoided if possible.

Ice Storm Warning (WSW)

    Ice storm Warnings are issued when freezing rain will cause widespread glazing. A coating of ice is expected to reach 1/4 inch thick or more on objects and make travel nearly impossible. For lesser amounts of ice, usually a winter weather advisory would be used, but even a thin glaze of ice can make travel difficult. Avoid travel.

Wind Chill Warning (NPW)

    Issued when wind chills of -35 F or lower are expected with wind speeds of 10 mph or more. A wind chill advisory is issued for values between -20 and -34 F. Dress warmly and cover as much exposed skin as possible.

ice on power lines Winter Storm Climatology

On average our area experiences 2 to 3 winter storms a season and 1 “true” blizzard every 3 years. Parts of southeast Minnesota and northeast Iowa experience more blizzards on average than areas along the Mississippi River and western Wisconsin because of the terrain. Be aware that conditions can change drastically across northern Iowa and southern Minnesota compared to areas east of there.

Click here for more information about Wisconsin hazardous winter weather.

Here is a table showing the number of winter related warnings the La Crosse NWS office has issued for the past several seasons:

Season

# of Warnings

1998-99

55

1999-00

61

2000-01

185

2001-02

69

2002-03

73

2003-04

90

2004-05

105

2005-06

92

2006-07

169

2007-08

210

2008-09

142

2009-10

91

2010-11

138

2011-12

6 (new record!)

What is the prediction for this winter? Click here to check out our 2012-2013 Winter Outlook page.


blowing snow Wind Chill Index

The “Wind Chill” Index is a calculation of how cold it feels outside when the effects of temperature and wind speed are combined. The La Crosse National Weather Service issues Wind Chill Advisories when they reach -20 F, and Wind Chill Warnings when they drop to -35 F or lower. Exposure to cold, biting air for long periods of time is dangerous.

Wind chill chart

For more information on the Wind Chill Index, click here.

In late 2001 the NWS started using a new wind chill index. This new index was designed to calculate a more accurate reading of how the cold air feels on human skin. This new index was based on wind speeds at human face level, an updated heat transfer theory which factors in heat loss from the body to its surroundings during cold windy days, and a consistent standard for skin tissue resistance. The main goal of the change was to use modern science in revising the index so that it more accurately represents the impact on humans.


bitter cold city Frostbite / Hypothermia

Watch for signs of frostbite or hypothermia when outdoors during extreme cold weather.

Frostbite is a severe reaction to cold exposure that can permanently damage its victims. A loss of feeling and a white or pale appearance in fingers, toes, or nose and ear lobes are symptoms of frostbite. In fact, research (P.Tikuisis, 2004) has shown that uncovered fingers can freeze up to 8 times faster than a human cheek, and the nose can freeze 3 times faster. This illustrates the importance of keeping fingers and parts of your face (ear lobes, nose) well covered in extreme cold weather.

Hypothermia is a condition brought on when the body temperature drops to less than 95 deg F. Symptoms of hypothermia include uncontrollable shivering, slow speech, memory lapses, frequent stumbling, drowsiness, and exhaustion.

If frostbite or hypothermia is suspected, begin warming the person slowly and seek immediate medical assistance. Warm the person’s trunk first. Use your own body heat to help. Arms and legs should be warmed last because stimulation of the limbs can drive cold blood toward the heart and lead to heart failure. Put the person in dry clothing and wrap their entire body in a blanket.

Never give a frostbite or hypothermia victim something with caffeine in it (like coffee or tea) or alcohol. Caffeine, a stimulant, can cause the heart to beat faster and hasten the effects the cold has on the body. Alcohol, a depressant, can slow the heart and also hasten the ill effects of cold body temperatures.


icicles Winter Weather Preparedness

Proper winter weather awareness includes preparation. Here are some things that can help you.

When Outdoors:

      • Check temperatures and wind chill indicies first.
      • Dress warmly, with several layers. Dress for the worst just in case.
      • Use a warm coat, gloves or mittens, a hat, and water-resistant boots.
      • Cover exposed skin as much as possible.
      • Watch for frostbite on finger tips, ear lobes, the nose, or toes.
      • Avoid over-exertion. The cold already puts a strain on the body and heart.

At Home or Work – make sure you have:

      • Extra flashlights and batteries
      • A battery-powered NOAA Weather Radio or AM/FM portable radio
      • Extra food and water (2-3 day supply)
      • Extra medicine and baby items
      • First Aid supplies
      • Emergency Heating source**
      • Carbon Monoxide Detector

** If you use an emergency heating source, be alert for deadly carbon monoxide gases and never place it near another object that may catch on fire. Many house fires during the winter are caused by incorrect use of a space heater. Keep the space heater at least 36 inches away from other objects and turn it off if you leave the room.

On the farm:

      • Move animals to a sheltered area.
      • Supply extra food for animals.
      • Have a fresh water supply (most animal deaths during the winter are from dehydration).

At School:

      • Have an action plan.
      • Monitor weather conditions closely.
      • Use NOAA Weather Radio to get hourly wind chill values.
      • School days may need to be delayed, cancelled, or shortened.

When Traveling:

    • Winterize your vehicle. Check the battery.
    • Check the forecast and road conditions ahead of time.
    • Consider adjusting your route to avoid poor driving conditions.
    • Carry a cellular phone for use during emergencies.
    • Keep the gas tank near full.
    • Coordinate with others your destination and times of travel.
    • Yield to snowplows. The snow cloud they produce can lower visibilities to near zero. Stay back – Stay Alive!
    • Have a survival kitin your car:
      • Extra blankets or sleeping bag
      • Flashlight with extra batteriestraffic stuck in snow
      • First Aid kit with pockey knife
      • Booster cables
      • A rope
      • A small shovel
      • A bag of sand or cat litter for traction
      • Plastic bags (for sanitation)
      • Extra gloves, hat, and socks
      • Non-perishable food items and bottled water
      • Road maps (for alternative routes)
    • If you do get stuck:
      • Stay with your car. Do not try to walk to safety.
      • Start the car for about 10 minutes every hour for heat.
      • Keep the exhaust pipe clear of snow.
      • Tie a bright colored (red or orange) cloth to the antenna.
      • Turn the dome light when running the engine.
      • If you must venture away from the car, use a life-line or rope.
    • Be careful of Dense Fog. Delay your travel if needed.fog crash aftermath
      • Do not drive into a dense fog bank. Others may be stopped.
      • In October 2002, a pile-up on Interstate 43 in eastern Wisconsin killed 10 people (see image) during dense fog.
      • In January 2008, another series of accidents in southern Wisconsin led to some fatalities due to dense fog.

NOAA Weather Radio logo NOAA Weather Radio

Staying informed of hazardous winter weather is a good way to prepare or avoid dangerous situations, especially if you have travel plans. NOAA Weather Radio is an excellent source of weather information directly from the National Weather Service.

Every school should have and monitor a NOAA Weather Radio!

NOAA Weather Radio broadcasts 24 hours a day – 7 days a week. At the touch of a button you can hear the:

  • Regional weather summary
  • Current weather conditions, including hourly wind chill values
  • The 7-day forecast
  • Radar summaries and short term forecasts
  • Any watches, warnings, or advisories in effect
  • Hazardous Weather Outlooks (top and bottom of the hour)
  • Other pertinent weather information as needed

To visit our main NOAA Weather Radio page, click here.

The National Weather Service in La Crosse currently operates 10 transmitters.

Current transmitters:

City ID Frequency
Rochester, MN WXK41 162.475 MHz
La Crosse, WI
Winona, MN
WXJ86
KGG95
162.550 MHz
162.425 MHz
Black River Falls, WI WNG564 162.500 MHz
Prairie du Chien, WI
Richland Center, WI
WWG86
WWG89
162.500 MHz
162.450 MHz
St.Ansgar, IA
Decorah, IA
KXI68
KXI60
162.450 MHz
162.525 MHz
Withee, WI KZZ77 162.425 MHz
Ridgeville/Tomah, WI KE2XKP 162.525 MHz

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Posted under winter weather

This post was written by tschmidt on November 5, 2012

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2012-2013 Winter Forecast

The day we’ve been waiting for has arrived!  NOAA (The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) has released its official outlook for December 2012-February 2013 which is the length our our meteorological winter and things look to be cold and potentially less snowy than normal.  The latest data suggests that we’ll be in an ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) neutral phase, meaning essentially a typical winter weather pattern can be expected across the country although there will be some anomalous pockets of unusual winter conditions.  There appears to be an elevated chance for a drier than normal winter in the Upper Mississippi Valley, including our viewing area while temperatures may be fairly typical for the season.  Below are more specifics from the National Weather Service

2012-2013 Winter Outlook

On October 18, 2012, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released the first outlook for the 2012-2013 meteorological winter (December 1, 2012 to February 28, 2013). 

The Climate Predication Center is forecasting a neutral or La Nada winter and for the Upper Midwest region (including southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa, and western Wisconsin).  The winter is forecast to have an:

  • Equal chance of above normal, normal, or below normal temperatures
  • Enhanced chance (33 to 40%) of below normal precipitation

More details, including national graphics, mean temperatures, and mean precipitation for our area are below.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) 2012-2013 Winter Outlook
United States Temperatures United States Precipitation
Enhanced chances of above normal temperatures exist across much of the central United States into the Intermountain West. Meanwhile, eastern parts of the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, Southeast and East Coast have equal chances of above normal, normal, or below normal temperatures. The Florida Peninsula is the only region in the CPC outlook where below normal temperatures are expected. Enhanced probabilties of below normal precipitation exist across much of the Pacific Northwest and portions of the Upper Midwest (including our local area). The Gulf Coast region has enhanced chances of wetter than normal conditions, with the rest of the country falling into the equal chances of above normal, normal, or below normal precipitation category.

 

What Is Average for the Area?

Normal Winter Temperatures (High / Low)

(In Fahrenheit; 1981-2010 Climate Normals)

  Rochester, Minnesota La Crosse, Wisconsin
December  27.1° / 12.2°  29.1° / 14.2°
January 23.6° / 7.7° 25.9° / 8.9°
February  28.1° / 12.4°  31.4° / 13.6°
Normal Winter Precipitation (Liquid)

(In Inches; 1981-2010 Climate Normals)

  Rochester, Minnesota La Crosse, Wisconsin
December  1.23″  1.36″
January  0.86″  1.12″
February  0.83″  1.05″

     

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Posted under Winter Outlook

This post was written by tschmidt on October 18, 2012

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