So far, the new month of October has been pretty good to us, hasn’t it?  High pressure and a warmer air mass have made things sunny and comfortable and it looks like this pattern will hold, for the most part, through the rest of the week.  The month of September featured plenty of days just like this along with a few rather warm days and some cooler than average ones as well.  Overall, we ended the month a couple of degrees cooler than normal both in the high temperature and low temperature categories while rainfall was slightly lower than normal as well. 

This September was a little cooler and drier than usual for Rochester.

Ironically, the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for September that was issued just before the start of the month called for a slightly warmer and drier than normal month, so it was close, but not quite completely accurate for our local area.  The outlook for October that was issued late week is calling for a warmer than normal month with a high probability of wetter than normal weather.  Looking at this week’s forecast I can easily see where the warm weather aspect of that equation is coming from, but we’ll have to wait several days to get some of that rain.  The longer range models do show some rain toward the middle of the month with a slightly more active pattern possibly developing, but we’ll really have to wait and see if the Climate Prediciton Center’s forecast pans out.

Posted under climate