Yeah, it’s looking like it…at least there’s an opportunity for thunderstorms between 11am and 7pm Thursday. Grand totals won’t be much higher than a tenth to a quarter of an inch, but anything helps this time of year when highs are approaching 90° and everything is quick to dry out. Check out our Futurecast and graphics pages for some of the latest information.
Steph has just posted a synopsis on the dry conditions that have been developing in southern Minnesota since about the 12th of June. We’ve had rain since then, but it’s been awfully sporadic, and despite the almost daily chance of thunderstorms, the storms that have been out there have missed a good chunk of southeast Minnesota.
Regarding the U.S. Drought Monitor that Steph mentioned, it is updated every Thursday at 7am Central, and I believe that this Thursday’s update will show a fairly substantial increase in the areal coverage of D0 (abnormally dry) conditions here in the Upper Midwest.
It may seem hard to believe, but based on the 30-year average, July is the wettest month of the year in Rochester, MN with an average July rainfall of 4.61″. August is the second wettest month with an average of 4.33″, and June is the third wettest with an average of 4.00″. The last year we had average or above average rainfall in July was in 2005 when 5.13″ of rain fell–July of 2006 and 2007 were unusually dry.
I’ve been receiving quite a few questions lately wondering why we don’t use percentages in our forecasts. I’ll address this sooner than later–there’s an 80% chance that I’m ready to go home.
Posted under KTTC, weather