Our first round of morning thunderstorms has come and gone. Other than loud crashes of thunder, and a lot of lightning, the first round passed relatively quietly bringing with it no wind damage. There will be another chance for strong storms in the afternoon, but there will be factors working against the development of stronger storms (which is a good thing!) We’ll take a look at them below.
First off, here is the risk outlook issued by the Storm Prediction Center for the rest of our Wednesday. Notice the main severe weather risk is outside of the area where a moderate risk of severe weather has been issued for the Chicago area and points in the central Great Lakes.
Below is the water vapor imagery, and inside the red is the disturbance responsible for the thunderstorm development early this morning and will be the focal point for any storms that fire in our area, but especially south and east of the area.
The one thing in question this morning will be how much sunshine we will see this afternoon. It looks like there will be the chance to see some sunshine in between a few waves of clouds that will act to destabilize the atmosphere. The more sun we see, the better chance we will have to get in on stronger storms as the disturbance outlined above crosses the area later today.
Again the most likely area for severe weather will be south and east of the area, but the situation is being watched closely this morning and this afternoon just in case ingredients come back together.
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This post was written by jkegges on June 12, 2013