Forecasting the coming winter chill: How cold will we get this December?

December 2, 2016 0 Comments
Forecasting the coming winter chill: How cold will we get this December?

Coming off an incredibly mild November (the average temperature was 42.8 degrees, 9 degrees above normal), you might be wondering if December will be similar. Well, that probably won’t be the case. The good news is we should be pretty mild to start the month. The average high temperature for the first week of December […]

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A Warm Fall and November

December 1, 2016 0 Comments
A Warm Fall and November

Some flowers were still blooming across southeast Minnesota on November 30th after what has been a fall for the record books! Meteorological fall 2016, which ran from September 1st through November 30th, will go down as the 2nd warmest fall on record for Rochester with an average temperature of 53.1°. This falls just short of […]

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Computer Modeling Issues 4 Days Out

November 14, 2016 0 Comments
Computer Modeling Issues 4 Days Out

Talk about a forecasting headache! This is a big reason why I don’t get too excited about the details of a potential storm even 4 days out. Here’s a look at the placement of a potential area of low pressure at noon on Friday between 3 different computer models.   As of today (Monday), the […]

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Record Rainfall for Rochester

October 26, 2016 0 Comments

In an unusually wet year, another storm system producing an inch or two of rainfall overnight shouldn’t be surprising for us even if it’s late October, a part of the year not necessarily known for locally heavy rain. However, it’s actually been a few weeks since we’ve seen significant rainfall in the area, or even […]

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Winter Outlook 2016/’17

October 21, 2016 0 Comments
Winter Outlook 2016/’17

It may be hard to imagine, but winter is just around the corner after this very mild fall! The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released their winter forecast for the U.S. and it paints two very different pictures thanks to a weak La Nina expected to occur in the Pacific Ocean.  Below you will find the […]

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Peak Fall Color Coming

October 3, 2016 0 Comments
Peak Fall Color Coming

We’re just into October and that means peak fall color is just around the corner for southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa and southwest Wisconsin. The main trigger for trees to change color is the loss of daylight. Ever since the summer solstice back in June, we have been watching the sun set a little sooner each […]

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Looking back at September and previewing October

October 1, 2016 0 Comments
Looking back at September and previewing October

We’ve reached the end of the ninth month of 2016 (hard to believe that we’re already 3/4ths of the way through the year). It was warmer and much wetter than normal. Our average high was 2.5 degrees above normal, while our average low was 4.5 degrees above normal. In fact, we never reached a temperature […]

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Heavy rain leads to flooding in the area to start autumn

September 22, 2016 0 Comments

A stalled front across the area and a persistent moisture feed from a large storm system in the southern Rockies have worked to bring heavy rainfall and widespread flooding to southern Minnesota and northern Iowa this week. What started out as a severe weather event including damaging wind gusts along the border and a brief tornado […]

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Record Rainfall in the Area

September 7, 2016 0 Comments

Our current soggy spell of weather has yielded some new rainfall records in parts of the area. The slow-moving storm system interacting with this very juicy, humid atmosphere produced some localized flooding along the Minnesota-Iowa border once again, eerily similar to the set up a few weeks ago that brought more than eight inches to […]

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A look back at the Rochester F5 Tornado, 133 years later

August 21, 2016 0 Comments
A look back at the Rochester F5 Tornado, 133 years later

August 21, 1883 is arguably the most important day in the history of Rochester. That was the day that the Med City took a direct hit from an F5 tornado. This mile-wide tornado touched down in Dodge County, leveling farms there. It moved northeast into northern Rochester, causing destruction to homes before finally dissipating about […]

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